深度神经网络指导下的无线覆盖预测算法

为保证新一代移动无线网络能够根据实时覆盖情况动态地调节小区天线参数,需要实现高效且准确的无线覆盖预测。传统的求解方法通过精确的场强预测判断天线参数的优劣,虽然精度很高但需要大量的计算资源,无法满足5G和后5G移动网络通过实时覆盖预测进行射频参数动态调整的实际需求。现采用基于深度神经网络的算法对给定天线参数的覆盖效果进行预测,以取代对目标区域的精确场强预测。数值结果表明:该方法能够在保持计算准确性的同时显著减少计算量,为5G动态网络规划提供基础性参考数据。     

回弹法评定火灾后混凝土强度的试验研究

火灾高温作用后，混凝土的强度将发生变化。通过试验，对影响混凝土强度的因素进行了分析，并建立了利用回弹法评定火灾后混凝土抗压强度的专用测强曲线及计算公式，为编制火灾后混凝土结构检测评估技术规程提供试验依据和数据。     

基于可靠度的身管强度修正

从分析火炮身管的材料、载荷和结构尺寸的离散性出发 ,进行了基于安全系数设计的身管强度可靠度分析。依据要求的可靠度 ,建立了身管强度设计薄弱区域的强度修正模型。以某型火炮身管为例 ,进行了基于安全系数设计的身管可靠度分析及强度修正     

双基地声纳目标低频散射特性研究

针对双基地声纳目标低频散射问题,从Helmholtz积分方程出发,采用等价面元解决表面积分存在的奇异性问题,建立了非入射方向水下目标散射声场的物理模型和计算方法.计算了刚性圆柱体的后向散射回声,绘出了在不同收发分置角、低频情况下,刚性椭球目标强度随目标姿态角的空间变化曲线,并分析了其散射特性.结果表明,提出的模型和方法能计算任意分置角和任意目标姿态角时的水下目标散射强度,可用于预报双基地声纳目标低频声散射特性.     

J-M模型改进与可靠性预测研究

软件可靠性J-M预计模型对可靠性测试数据的假设要求比较严格,与实际情况不太符合。针对可靠性测试中各种因素的影响,适当修改了排除错误的条件假设,使得模型的适用性更强。对J-M模型用迭代法确定了参数的估计值,结合1组可靠性测试数据,得到可靠性预测结果。     

监测位移趋势分析确定滑坡稳定状态研究

针对滑坡预报缺少公认的临界速率,同时由于普遍存在的位移突变现象,易于造成大量误报的问题,提出了基于监测位移趋势分析的滑坡预报新思路。通过分析某工程滑坡的位移监测数据,得出了选取关键断面、观测预报点的一般规律。采用FLAC3D计算考虑流变状况下,不同安全系数所对应的滑坡位移趋势曲线,通过对比分析相应关键点监测位移趋势曲线,定量、全过程判定滑坡所处的稳定状态,为工程项目提供决策参考,避免了滑坡进一步发展,验证了滑坡观测预报点选择规律和对比监测、计算位移趋势曲线进行滑坡预报的可行性。     

夹芯复合材料基座结构设计与强度分析

提出了两型夹芯复合材料基座结构的设计方案,建立了夹芯复合材料基座数值分析模型,通过理论分析确定了影响基座结构刚度和强度性能的主要参数;应用有限元法,分析了铺层方式、支撑厚度和骨架形式等对直支撑基座结构刚度和强度性能的影响规律,计算并讨论了曲率半径对弧形支撑式基座刚度和强度性能的影响;比较了5种夹芯材料基座的结构力学性能,并通过优化设计,确定了夹芯复合材料基座结构形式。     

高技术条件下炮兵作战火力优化模型

由于能给敌军造成大量的毁伤 ,炮兵被誉为“战争之神”。但是 ,由于可得到的炮兵部队数量、弹药和时间所限 ,炮兵不可能对战场所有可得到的目标射击。炮兵必须决定哪些目标可用炮兵射击 ,以及如何射击。考虑到未来战场将充斥着大量目标 ,炮兵要求使用一种自动目标处理系统。将提出一个炮兵优化模型 ,模型的目的是快速对目标价值排序 ,然后以最佳的炮兵兵力、火力分配对选择的目标进行射击。     

An air cavity method for increasing the underwater acoustic targets strength of corner reflector

In order to improve the underwater acoustic target strength of corner reflectors, according to the principle of acoustic impedance mismatch of the boundary layer, the method of using air cavity to increase the underwater acoustic target strength of corner reflectors is proposed. The acoustic reflection coefficients of underwater air layer and single layer metal sheet are calculated and compared. The results show that the reflection coefficient of single layer metal sheet is greatly affected by frequency and incidence angle, and the reflection coefficient of air layer in water is large and little affected by frequency and incidence angle. On this basis, a new kind of airfilled cavity corner reflector is designed. The acoustic scattering characteristics of underwater airfilled cavity corner reflector are calculated cumulatively, and the results are compared with the monolayer metal sheet corner reflector. The simulation results show that the acoustic reflection effect of the airfilled cavity corner reflector is better. In order to verify the correctness of the method, the test was carried out in the silencing tank. The experimental results show that the simulation results are in good agreement with the experimental results, and the airfilled cavity can improve on acoustic reflection performance of the underwater corner reflector.     

Praying for Rain? Water Scarcity and the Duration and Outcomes of Civil Wars

Recent anecdotal evidence from the civil wars in Somalia and Yemen suggest that water scarcity may shape the dynamics of civil wars. While a considerable body of research has examined the connection between water scarcity (such as low rainfall) and the onset of civil war, very little research has examined how water scarcity may shape the duration and outcomes of civil wars. Looking specifically at rainfall, this paper argues that changes in access to water play a key role in the duration of civil wars. As rainfall declines, there is a reduction in resources available to both the government and the rebel group, leading to a stalemate in fighting. Furthermore, this paper argues that declines in rainfall are felt more acutely by rebel groups who seek to challenge the government through conventional warfare. This paper tests these propositions using hazard models. The results provide robust support for the propositions.